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Issue № 69. August 2018

Assessment of the Agricultural Sphere Biological Capacity in order to Determine the Limit of the Earth's Population

Nikolay Y. Klyukin, Vladimir A. Gutnikov

Nikolay Y. Klyukin — Head of Monitoring Department of the Central Research and Project Institute, Ministry of Building and Housing-Communal Services of Russian Federation, Moscow, the Russian Federation.
E-mail: nkljukin@gmail.com

Vladimir A. Gutnikov — PhD, Deputy Director General on the Advanced and Educational Study of the Central Research and Project Institute, Ministry of Building and Housing-Communal Services of Russian Federation, Moscow, the Russian Federation.
E-mail: lomonosov25@rambler.ru

The article presents a schematic estimation of the world population limit on the basis of the potential biological capacity of the agricultural sphere: the possible production of cereals, oilseeds and meat of all kinds using the mathematical statistics methods. The calculation of coefficients of multiple regression was conducted using the software package «Statistica 7» data analysis. The paper shows that there is no problem to feed almost any population of the world, there is a problem of uniformity of food distribution grown on the territory of the planet. According to the conclusions presented in the paper, the possibilities of world agriculture allow feeding the population exceeding the forecasts of Kapitsa And D. H. Medouz and D. L. Medouz by 14 billion people, provided that the world's population eats, according to the standard of the Ministry of health of the Russian Federation: 100 kg per person per year of grain and 47.9 kg of meat per person per year.

Keywords

Assessment, prediction, Agrosfera, biological capacity, the world's population, global agriculture, production of grains and oilseeds, the production of meat.

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