Archive
2023 96 97 98 99 100 101
2022 90 91 92 93 94 95
2021 84 85 86 87 88 89
2020 78 79 80 81 82 83
2019 72 73 74 75 76 77
2018 66 67 68 69 70 71
2017 60 61 62 63 64 65
2016 54 55 56 57 58 59
2015 48 49 50 51 52 53
2014 42 43 44 45 46 47
News
Submit your article
Newsletter


Issue № 69. August 2018

Assessment of the Agricultural Sphere Biological Capacity in order to Determine the Limit of the Earth's Population

Nikolay Y. Klyukin, Vladimir A. Gutnikov

Nikolay Y. Klyukin — Head of Monitoring Department of the Central Research and Project Institute, Ministry of Building and Housing-Communal Services of Russian Federation, Moscow, the Russian Federation.
E-mail: nkljukin@gmail.com

Vladimir A. Gutnikov — PhD, Deputy Director General on the Advanced and Educational Study of the Central Research and Project Institute, Ministry of Building and Housing-Communal Services of Russian Federation, Moscow, the Russian Federation.
E-mail: lomonosov25@rambler.ru

The article presents a schematic estimation of the world population limit on the basis of the potential biological capacity of the agricultural sphere: the possible production of cereals, oilseeds and meat of all kinds using the mathematical statistics methods. The calculation of coefficients of multiple regression was conducted using the software package «Statistica 7» data analysis. The paper shows that there is no problem to feed almost any population of the world, there is a problem of uniformity of food distribution grown on the territory of the planet. According to the conclusions presented in the paper, the possibilities of world agriculture allow feeding the population exceeding the forecasts of Kapitsa And D. H. Medouz and D. L. Medouz by 14 billion people, provided that the world's population eats, according to the standard of the Ministry of health of the Russian Federation: 100 kg per person per year of grain and 47.9 kg of meat per person per year.

Keywords

Assessment, prediction, Agrosfera, biological capacity, the world's population, global agriculture, production of grains and oilseeds, the production of meat.

Comments:
No material published in this journal may be reproduced in print or in electronic form without a link to "E-journal. Public Administrarion".
119991, Room A-710, Shuvalovskiy building, Lomonosov Moscow State University
(27/4, Lomonosovskiy Avenue); phone: +7 (495) 930-85-71
Copyright © 2015 SPA MSU


Яндекс.Метрика